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Investor Behaviour

Inflation within target, but be cautious

Inflation within target, but be cautious

Why does nobody believe the published inflation rate?   I will attempt to answer this question by explaining how inflation is calculated.   The inflation rate refers to the annual average rate of increase in prices represented by a basket

mw@dmin May 10, 2018May 10, 2018 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Personal Finances Read more

You have negligible control over markets, so control your emotions

You have negligible control over markets, so control your emotions

At the risk of committing career suicide I would like to admit the following.  I have no idea the affect Trump will have on our share market over the next few months……I can hear the response “What! You don’t know.

mw@dmin March 1, 2018March 1, 2018 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Predictions materialised

Predictions materialised

I vividly recall attending an investor feedback session with a hotshot offshore manager whose fund had performed terribly.  After taking some criticism from the hostile audience he totally lost it, raising his voice he stated that “it was only numbers”. 

mw@dmin February 1, 2018February 1, 2018 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Dammed if you don’t

Dammed if you don’t

With the US stock market now entering its 9th year in a bull market phase, it’s probably a good idea to reflect on some old age wisdom, which is nicely explained in the following quote; Bull markets are born on

mw@dmin January 18, 2018January 18, 2018 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Market irrationality requires cool heads

Market irrationality requires cool heads

“Be greedy when others are fearful and fearful when others are greedy”  Warren Buffett The big financial institutions have just released their economic forecasts for 2018 and what do you know they are extremely bullish with a consensus view of

mw@dmin December 7, 2017December 7, 2017 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Rational investors sit it out

Rational investors sit it out

For this week’s article I am going to ask you to pretend you are living in a make-believe world, which shouldn’t be too hard, just follow our supreme leaders example by living in denial until you believe your own lies;

mw@dmin November 23, 2017November 23, 2017 Investment Risk, Investment Strategies, Investor Behaviour, Retirement Read more

Be rational, not biased, in financial decisions

Be rational, not biased, in financial decisions

A bias is defined as; “Not logical or reasonable” “…tendencies to think in certain ways that can lead to systematic deviations from a standard of rationality or good judgment”. Recency Bias refers to our expectation for future returns based on

mw@dmin August 10, 2017August 10, 2017 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Zuma-saga: We only hope sanity prevails

Zuma-saga: We only hope sanity prevails

Why all the fuss over the recent cabinet reshuffle and the firing of Pravin Gordhan (PG) as Minister of Finance.   Quite simply the treasury has been “captured”; the next institution under threat would be the Reserve Bank and then the

mw@dmin April 13, 2017July 20, 2017 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour Read more

Prediction, in the end, is mere speculation

Prediction, in the end, is mere speculation

At the risk of committing career suicide I would like to admit the following.  I have no idea the affect Trump will have on our share market over the next few months…..I can hear the response “What! You don’t know.

mw@dmin March 30, 2017July 20, 2017 Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour, Market Drivers Read more

Defining risk, counter-intuitive thinking

Defining risk, counter-intuitive thinking

Blame it on a mid-life crisis, but I recently acquired a motorcycle much to my mother’s dismay.  I vividly recall the same response from her some 32 years ago when my Dad agreed to me getting a 2nd hand 50cc

mw@dmin February 16, 2017February 16, 2017 Investment Risk, Investment Strategies, Investor Behaviour, Market behaviour Read more
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